One Day Objectivism Conference In Dallas, February 29, 2020

I was surprised to see that Texas would have a couple of Ayn Rand Institute sponsored conferences this year.

The first will be this coming Saturday in Dallas. It’s a one-day event, with about half a dozen speakers.

The second event will be later this Summer, in Austin, and appears to be the “main” ARI  conference this year. (It looks like they are trying to have mini-conferences around the nation, rather than just the one big, yearly conference.)

I was unable to attend the 2019 OCON due to conflicts with my work schedule, but I attended the 2017 (my first) and the 2018.

I’ve been reading and thinking about Ayn Rand’s ideas since I was about 15. I didn’t expect to learn anything particularly “earthshaking” or novel at the prior two conferences I attended. I looked at them more as social events, in which I’d have an opportunity to be around a large number of people who are sufficiently sympathetic to Rand’s ideas to pay out a good-sized chunk of money for the admittance fee, plus pay for a hotel and airfare.

I was curious to see what that would be like. In my everyday social interactions, I sometimes get a feeling of being a permanent “outsider”, but I also suspect that may just be my personality. The OCON’s gave me a chance to see how I reacted when everyone around me is, at least ostensibly, holding the same worldview.

But, I was pleasantly surprised to find that listening to some of the lectures at the 2017 and 2018 conferences was a real stimulus to my thinking on several subjects.

There were also additional “intangible benefits” from the previous two conferences that I have trouble fully articulating with words. It was like a “mental afterglow” or just general “good feelings” from attending the conferences, that lasted for a while. (I’m guessing this is something like what religious people feel after coming back from church camp or some other such event.) I wasn’t necessarily impressed with every single person I encountered at the OCON’s, but being in that social environment sort of helped me to see myself a little bit better.

 

Book Review of “Explaining Postmodernism”, by Stephen R.C. Hicks

This is the best non-fiction book I’ve read in a decade. I highly recommend it. The over-all value of the book lies in tracing the origins of what I find to be a common tactic when debating a leftist. You present them with arguments, facts, and logic, and, at the end, they will say something like:

Well this is all just your white male prejudice,”; “that’s only logic, come down to reality,”; “those are just your definitions, and all definitions are ultimately arbitrary”; or, even, “I don’t feel that you’re right, and why is your logic better than my feelings?

Hicks has provided an explanation, lying in the history of philosophy, for why so many people seem to consider such responses to a logical argument to be persuasive. That explanation lies, mostly, in the ideas of dead, white, male philosophers who lived two-hundred years ago. Those notions have slowly “trickled down” to the masses, and infect the majority of people’s minds today -especially any college student with a “gender studies” or “black studies” degree.

The author expressly states his theme in his table of contents:

Thesis: The failure of epistemology made postmodernism possible, and the failure of socialism made postmodernism necessary.” (Table of Contents, Pg. i.)

Did I find this, in fact, to be his theme based on my reading of the book? Overall, I’d say, yes. I’ll start with Hicks’ definition of “postmodernism”:

Postmodernism rejects the entire Enlightenment project. It holds that the modernist premises of the Enlightenment were untenable from the beginning…” (Pg 14)

Postmodernism reject the Enlightenment project in the most fundamental way possible -by attacking its essential philosophical themes. Postmodernism rejects the reason and the individualism that the entire Enlightenment would depend upon.” (Pg. 14)

His definition of “postmodern” is basically a “negative definition”. He defines it as an attack on the Enlightenment. What does he think the Enlightenment stood for?

In philosophy, modernism’s essentials are located in the formative figures of Francis Bacon…Rene Descartes…, for their influence upon epistemology, and more comprehensively in John Locke…for his influence upon all aspects of philosophy.” (Pg. 7)

 “Bacon, Descartes ,and Locke are modern because of their philosophical naturalism, their profound confidence in reason, and especially in the case of Locke, their individualism. Modern thinkers stress that perception and reason are the human means of knowing nature -in contrast to the pre-modern reliance upon tradition, faith, and mysticism. Modern thinkers stress human autonomy and the human capacity for forming one’s character -in contrast to the pre-modern emphasis upon dependence and original sin. Modern thinkers emphasize the individual…“ (Pg. 7)

To sum up, Hicks sees three “types” of philosophical attitudes in the Western World:

The “Pre-modern”, as exemplified by the Christian Medieval, and, probably, the Ancient Greek worlds;

the “modern” attitude, which started around the time of Francis Bacon; and

the “postmodern”, whose origins he goes on to explain later in the book.

What was the “failure of epistemology” he says “made postmodernism possible”?  He doesn’t spend too much time explaining what “epistemology” is. He clearly is familiar with, and sympathetic to, Ayn Rand’s philosophy of Objectivism. I assume he generally agrees with what she said in “Introduction to Objectivist Epistemology”. I also think he is assuming people reading his book will already have some general understanding of the subject of philosophy and its basic questions. But, early on, he defines what he views as the “Enlightenment epistemology”, which is:

If one emphasizes that reason is the faculty of understanding nature, then that epistemology systematically applied yields science. Enlightenment thinkers laid the foundations of all the major branches of science. In mathematics, Isaac Newton….developed the calculus….Linnaeus…a comprehensive biological taxonomy…Lavoisier…the foundations of chemistry.” (Pg. 9)

Hicks says there were:

“…philosophical weaknesses…” that had “….emerged clearly by the middle of the eighteenth century, in the skepticism of David Hume’s empiricism and the dead-end reached by traditional rationalism.” (Pg. 24)

But, he says that the real “counter-Enlightenment” started from 1780 to 1815 with a split between Anglo-American culture on the one hand and German culture on the other. (Pg. 24) In Germany:

Immanuel Kant is the most significant thinker of the Counter-Enlightenment.” (Pg. 27)

Kant’s priority was to defend religion from the Enlightenment:

I here therefore found it necessary to deny knowledge in order to make room for faith.” (See Second Preface to the Critique of Pure Reason, Immanuel Kant.)

How did Kant “deny knowledge in order to make room for faith”, according to Hicks?

The fundamental question of reason is its relationship to reality. Is reason capable of knowing reality -or is it not? Is our rational faculty a cognitive function, taking its material from reality…or is it not? This is the question that divides philosophers into pro- and anti- reason camps…the question that divides the rational gnostics and the skeptics, and this was Kant’s question in his Critique of Pure Reason.” (Pg. 28)

Kant was crystal clear about his answer. Reality -real, noumenal reality- is forever closed off to reason, and reason is limited to awareness and understanding of its own subjective products….Limited to knowledge of phenomena that it has itself constructed according to its own design, reason cannot know anything outside itself.” (Pg. 29)

In this way, reason was, according to Kant, limited to the “phenomenal realm”, while the “noumenal realm”, the realm of religion, was off limits to reason. (Pg. 29)

Since Kant posited his epistemic system to save religion, how did it come to be used by a bunch of largely, “irreligious”, if not atheistic, post-modern intellectuals? The rest of Chapter Two of Hick’s book lays out the “evolution” of Kant’s way of thinking by subsequent German philosophers, especially Hegel, Nietzsche, and Kierkegaard. He sums these subsequent, pre-twentieth-century philosophers at the end of Chapter 2 in this way:

The legacy of the irrationalists for the twentieth century included four key themes:

1. An agreement with Kant that reason is impotent to know reality;

2. an agreement with Hegel that reality is deeply conflictual and/or absurd;

3. a conclusion that reason is therefore trumped by claims based on feeling, instinct, or leaps of faith; and

4. that the non-rational and the irrational yield deep truths about reality.” (Pg. 57)

In the Twentieth Century, Hicks sees this tradition as having been continued by most major philosophers such as Martin Heidegger, who “…agreed with Kierkegaard and Schopenhauer that by exploring his feelings -especially his dark and anguished feelings of dread and guilt- he could approach Being.” (Pg. 59)

According to Hicks:

Heidegger offered to his followers the following conclusions, all of which are accepted by the mainstream of postmodernism with slight modifications:

1. Conflict and contradiction are the deepest truths of realty;

2. Reason is subjective and impotent to reach truths about reality;

3. Reason’s elements -words and concepts- are obstacles that must be un-crusted, subjected to Destruktion, or otherwise unmasked;

4. Logical contradiction is neither a sign of failure nor of anything particularly significant at all;

5. Feelings, especially morbid feelings of anxiety and dread, are a deeper guide than reason;

6. The entire Western tradition of philosophy -whether Platonic, Aristotelian, Lockean, or Cartesian- based as it is on the law of non-contradiction and the subject/object distinction, is the enemy to overcome.” (Pg. 65-66)

Note that little has been said about the political views of post-modern intellectuals yet. Hicks observes that, in fact, most post-modern intellectuals are on the political left. (Pg. 84) Starting at Chapter 4, he addresses the connection between the epistemology and metaphysics advanced by German philosophers since Kant, and its political implications. The reason for the modern socialist’s rejection of reason lies in the failure of socialism in theory and in practice:

As modernists, the [early] socialists argued that socialism could be proved by evidence and rational analysis, and that once the evidence was in, socialism’s moral and economic superiority to capitalism would be clear to anyone with an open mind.” (Pg. 86)

Free market economists, such as Ludwig von Mises, Milton Freedman, and Friedrich Hayek, have largely won the debate when it comes to the theoretical case for capitalism over socialism. (Pg. 87) The moral/political debate is more “up for grabs”, but, even here:

“…the leading thesis is that some form of [classical] liberalism in the broadest sense is essential to protecting civil rights and civil society…” (Pg. 87)

By the 21st Century the:

“…empirical evidence has been much harder on socialism. Economically, in practice the capitalist nations are increasingly productive and prosperous…every socialist experiment has ended in dismal economic failure…Morally and politically…every liberal capitalist country has a solid record of being humane, for by and large respecting rights and freedoms, and for making it possible for people to put together fruitful and meaningful lives. Socialist practice has time and time again proved itself more brutal than the worst dictatorships in history prior to the twentieth century.” (Pg. 87-88)

The success of the capitalist world and the failure of the socialist nations created a “crisis of faith” for those on the left. As Hicks notes:

This is a moment of truth for anyone who has experienced the agony of a deeply cherished hypothesis run aground on the rocks of reality. What do you do? Do you abandon your theory and go with the facts -or do you try to find a way to maintain your belief in your theory?” (Pg. 89)

Hicks believes the modern left’s abandonment of reality and reason in favor of “post-modern thinking” is their effort to “have their cake and eat it too”:

Here then, is my second hypothesis about post-modernism: Postmodernism is the academic far Left’s epistemological strategy for responding to the crisis caused by the failures of socialism in theory and in practice.” (Pg. 89)

Hicks notes that just as religious thinkers faced a “crisis of faith” during the Enlightenment, in which it was widely recognized that there was no way to prove the existence of god on “naturalistic” and rational grounds, so to, by the 1950’s and 1960’s, there was no way for socialists to use naturalistic and rational grounds to justify socialism. It had failed in theory and in practice, and, with revelations about the brutality of the Soviet Union, it had very little moral standing left. (Pg. 89-90) If they wanted to hold onto socialism, they had to reject reason and reality:

Postmodernism is born of the marriage of Left politics and skeptical epistemology….Confronted by harsh evidence and ruthless logic, the far left had a reply: That is only logic and evidence; logic and evidence are subjective, you cannot really prove anything; feelings are deeper than logic; and our feelings say socialism.” (Pg. 90)

The rest of Chapter Four describes the evolution of modern anti-individualist thought, starting with Rousseau and moving on to Hegel and Marx.

Chapter 6 discusses Marxism in historical context. Hicks notes that classical Marxism believes socialism would arise in the more advanced capitalist countries, like England and the United States, first. In actual practice, it arose in semi-feudalistic countries like Russia, Eastern Europe, and China. As such, Twentieth Century Marxists, like Lenin, had to modify their thinking to rationalize the need for a violent and brutal aristocracy to bring about socialism. (Pg. 138 to 141)

By the 1950’s and 1960’s the failure of socialism to arise “spontaneously”, as predicted by Marx, resulted in several different strategies to be tried by socialists. Some subtly changed their ethical standards from “need to equality”, which could include the inequalities experienced by small businesses versus big businesses (pg. 151), or the inequality supposedly present between the races. (Pg. 152)

Other mid-twentieth-century Marxists said wealth was bad anyway, giving rise to the environmentalist movement. (Pg. 153).

A third group of Marxists turned to violence in an effort to move the proletarian revolution along in the First World. (Pg. 165-170) As Hicks notes, several international terrorist groups with ties to Marxist thought, including the Weathermen in the US, and the Palestine Liberation Organization in the Middle East, arose in the early 1960’s.

What does Hicks consider to be the motives of the 21st Century postmodern left? He notes that postmodernist thinking contains a whole host of contradictions:

On the one hand, all truth is relative; on the other hand, postmodernism tells it like it really is.” (Pg. 184)

On the one hand, all cultures are equally deserving of respect; on the other, Western culture is uniquely destructive and bad.” (Pg. 184)

Values are subjective -but sexism and racism are really evil.” (Pg. 184)

Tolerance is good and dominance is bad -but when postmodernists come to power, political correctness follows.” (Pg. 184)

There is a “…contradiction between the relativism and the absolutist politics…” of postmodernism. (Pg. 185)

Hicks sees three possible explanations for this seeming contradiction:

1. Postmodernists are “relativists” primarily and their absolutist leftwing politics are “secondary”. He rules out this possibility because, otherwise, there would be more “conservative” postmodernists, but they are all uniformly left-wing. (Pg. 185-186)

2. The use of postmodernism is a “Machiavellian” strategy to undermine their political enemies. (Pg. 186) When they loose an argument, they will respond with: “Of course you, a white, male, heterosexual, would say that. But we cannot know anything about ‘things in themselves’, so reason is limited.”

3. Postmodernism is ultimately a nihilistic world-view, so the contradiction doesn’t matter to a postmodernist:

The final option is not to resolve the tension. Contradiction is a psychological form of destruction, but contradictions sometimes do not matter psychologically to those who live them, because for them ultimately nothing matters. Nihilism is close to the surface in the postmodern intellectual movement in a historically unprecedented way.” (Pg. 191-192)

The biggest flaw of the book I see may lie in the author’s treatment and evaluation of Marxism, which I think he gives more credit than it deserves. At several points, he seems to suggest that Marxism is more “pro-reason” than I think it ever was, even in its original “classical” format, as  propounded by Karl Marx himself. Hicks makes an assertion about Marxist socialism that probably isn’t correct at page 86:

As modernists, the socialists argued that socialism could be proved by evidence and rational analysis, and that once the evidence was in, socialism’s moral and economic superiority to capitalism would be clear…” (Pg. 86, emphasis added.)

He implies that he is including Marxists in the above description of “socialists”, and not just the non-Marxist socialists of the 19th Century, since he goes on to discuss the claims of “Classical Marxist socialism” on the same page. Also, later, he says:

Beginning in the 1920’s and 1930’s there had been some early suggestions that Marxism was too rationalistic, too logical and deterministic…And early Frankfurt School theorizing had suggested that Marxism was too wedded to reason…” (Pg. 156 to 157, emphasis added.)

Hicks seems to say that Marxism, as originally conceived, is “pro-reason”, when I think it never was. Non-Marxists socialists, the so-called “utopian socialists”, would have been pro-reason, like Hicks said on page 86. The ideas of Marx probably won out over the “utopian socialists” precisely because Marx embraced the Hegelian dialectic, and didn’t depend on classical Aristotelian logic. Marxism is too “arbitrary”, or disconnected from reality, to really be disproved or proved. Any time someone tries to disprove it, a Marxist could just say that person was a “tool of the capitalist exploiters”, and, “of course”, the critic would say that:

Aware of the fact that communism cannot be defended by reason, the Marxists proceeded to turn the fallacy of ad hominem into a formal philosophic doctrine, claiming that logic varies with men’s economic class, and that objections to communist doctrine may be dismissed as expressions of ‘bourgeois logic.’ “ (Leonard Peikoff, “Nazi Politics,” The Objectivist, Feb. 1971, 12, found at: http://aynrandlexicon.com/lexicon/polylogism.html)

Overall, I consider this to be a minor flaw of the book, which deftly traces the “philosophic genealogy” of today’s “postmodern” left. It really helped me to understand the mind of the average leftist, and how she will dismiss reason and say, I’m engaging in a logic:  “…created by dead white men”. Now I see another reason why the average leftist, like some mindless automaton, will point out how I’m a white, male, “bourgeois”, heterosexual -its easier to say this than do any hard thinking about the merits of their political ideology.

(All page number references below are to the 2018, expanded hardcover edition of “Explaining Postmodernism: Skepticism and Socialism From Rousseau to Focault”, by Stephen R.C. Hicks, ISBN 978-0-9832584-0-7)

Who Is Responsible for Iran Shooting Down Ukraine Flight 752?

Last week, the Iranian regime shot down Ukrainian Flight 752 with two anti-aircraft missiles. (https://www.businessinsider.com/iran-ukraine-plane-crash-flight-752-timeline-unfolded-events-allegations-2020-1)  It was but a footnote in a long history of brutal disregard for human life by a vicious theocratic dictatorship.

The week prior, an Iranian General was killed in Iraq by the United States.  We can debate whether the Trump administration was wise or not wise to eliminate the Iranian General, but he was not a good man, and was known to be responsible for attacks on Americans. (https://www.businessinsider.com.au/trump-claims-us-killed-iranian-general-soleimani-to-stop-war-2020-1 )  He was a force-initiator.

Regardless of whether the Trump administration should have killed the Iranian General, and in the way that they did, I want to address a particularly perverse notion that is floating around out there: Some people on the far left are saying this is the fault of Donald Trump. They use the following sort of “logic” to arrive at this conclusion:

(1) Donald Trump killed an Iranian General in Iraq, where he was waging war against the United States.

(2) Iran had just retaliated for this with a missile strike, and they were nervous of an American counter-attack, so they got jumpy and shot down the commercial airline.

If we were examining any semi-rational western government’s actions in such a situation, we’d ask several tough questions, such as: Why didn’t Iran, which knew it was about to conduct a missile attack, ground commercial airline flights? Why didn’t it have systems in place to distinguish between commercial flights and non-commercial flights?

But, a “liberal” throws all of that out in her mind, because it would require her to actually examine the nature of the Iranian regime, which she prefers not to do. The “liberal” will fail to consider key aspects of reality about Iran:

(1) Iran is a theocratic dictatorship with a record of human rights abuses. It routinely machine guns people in the streets for protesting against the government.( https://www.cnn.com/2019/12/06/middleeast/iran-un-protest-deaths-intl/index.html )There is no evidence to suggest it would have any more concern for the passengers on a commercial flight than it does for unarmed people in the street.
(2) Iran sponsors international terrorism that targets civilians, and it has since the current regime took power in the 1970’s.( https://www.cnn.com/2016/06/02/politics/state-department-report-terrorism/index.html ) This makes Iran essentially an outlaw nation, and they know it. They’re highly paranoid as a result.

(3) A theocratic dictatorship, pretty much by definition, has no concern with the well-being of its people in the here and now. Their goal is to prepare the population for after they die, and will go to heaven. Human rights are irrelevant to this world view. The Iranian regime is what it would look like if Branch Davidians somehow took over the United States. (https://www.britannica.com/topic/Branch-Davidian)

All of this adds up to an unstable, paranoid regime that will “shoot first and ask questions later”, because it isn’t really that concerned about the rights or welfare of its own people -or anyone else.

For a Western “liberal” to say it’s Donald Trump’s fault that Iran shot down Ukraine Flight 752, and killed a bunch of it’s own people is a statement of almost willful blindness.

The essence of the Iranian regime is the violation of the rights of other people in the pursuit of a supernatural “paradise” after they die.  In fact, they believe they’ll go to that paradise if they kill the infidels.

I’ll leave you with an analogy. Imagine you encounter a mentally unstable homeless person at the bus stop. You momentarily make eye contact with that mentally ill person, and then they beat you senseless.  Now imagine the police come and say: “Well, you shouldn’t have made eye contact with him.”

Even if your momentary gaze did precipitate the lunatic’s attack, it’s clear to everyone  that the crazy person is just that -and anything could set him off.

The Iranian regime has a specific nature. Even if it didn’t murder anyone this, particular week, given enough time, that’s exactly what it will do.

Good Article on PG&E and the California Wildfires

The Wall Street Journal article “PG&E: Wired to Fail” by Russell Gold,
Rebecca Smith and  Katherine Blunt, was, overall, a good, in-depth, article that lays out the relevant facts for why PG&E allowed its infrastructure to become so old that power lines fell and caused massive wildfires, killing many people.

It doesn’t do as good of a job explaining the significance of the facts that it cites, leaving it up to the reader to “put them together”. I thought I might synthesize the relevant facts from the article here, and draw the conclusions that the authors don’t explicitly draw.

The article notes that, at several points in the past, the state government of California mandated that PG&E switch to “green” sources of energy, mainly solar energy and wind.

As regulators pushed for more renewable energy, the combination of high winds and sparks from a damaged San Diego Gas & Electric power line ignited what came to be called the Witch Fire in Southern California, killing two people, injuring 45 firefighters and destroying 1,140 homes.”

For the past 15 years, PG&E has plotted a round trip from one bankruptcy to another. In between, it navigated the aftermath of a catastrophic natural-gas pipeline explosion and a series of increasingly demanding green-energy mandates from state regulators.”

In April 2011, seven months after the San Bruno explosion, California’s new governor, Jerry Brown, signed legislation raising the percentage of state electricity that must come from renewables to 33% by 2020, up from the previous state goal of 20% by 2010.”

In September 2018, Gov. Brown, months from leaving office, signed a bill that again raised the state’s renewable-energy target, this time to 60% by 2030.”

This is significant, because it causes the cost of power generation to go up. It’s simple Economics. If solar and wind were cheaper than  other, more traditional, forms of power generation, then power companies would have already switched to them. (That would allow them to generate power at a lower cost, thereby increasing their profits.) The reason PG&E didn’t switch voluntarily, and had to be forced by the government to do so, is because there is a higher cost from producing with solar and wind.

CALIFORNIA REGULATORS kept up the pressure to meet the state’s aggressive renewable energy goals.

By 2012, PG&E was spending more than $1.2 billion a year to meet the targets, more than double what it spent in 2003, according to PG&E filings, and it was projected to top $2 billion by 2015. Mr. Peevey, the utilities commission head, addressed concern that Californians faced a “rate bomb” as the deals kicked in.”

The second fact that has to be understood about power utilities is that they are heavily regulated by the government in terms of what price they can charge. The supposed rationale for this is that since only a limited number of companies are allowed to operate as utilities, they are governmentaly enforced monopolies that must have their prices regulated. I won’t get “too deep into the weeds” on this point, but there is no reason, in principle, that different companies couldn’t all enter the power generation business. (Power lines can be laid almost without limit underground or even through the air, or people can move, if the power company in one area charges too much, to another city where the power company charges less.)  What you should take away from this paragraph is this point: Power companies cannot just easily raise prices when their costs go up like like less regulated industries. They have to get permission from the government, usually some sort of board, which takes time and money, and there will be political pressure for the regulator to not let prices go up to reflect actual costs.

When you combine increasing costs to a power company from being forced to switch to “green energy sources” with the inability to fully pass that cost on to the consumers, the power company has to make up that difference somewhere. If it reduces profits, it reduces the number of people willing to invest in the power company, which reduces its ability to purchase new equipment, such as power lines. It means the company has to continue generating power with aging equipment. If it keeps profits high enough to keep investment coming in, it will have the same problem. It can’t simultaneously have: (1) higher production costs, (2) pay the same amount of profit to investors, and (3) keep prices the same to customers. Something has to give, and the “short term solution” is to stop spending money on the maintenance of equipment. But, the “long-run” eventually caught up with California:

It proved to be especially challenging for a plodding utility undergoing management upheaval, heavily regulated and saddled with aging, neglected equipment.

Executives were so focused on the past and the future that the present sneaked up on them. PG&E’s electric lines, after years of deferred maintenance, were threatening drought-parched California.

PG&E’s Caribou-Palermo transmission line was built in 1921 through the Plumas National Forest. Part of a larger network that carried electricity from the Sierra Nevada to the Bay Area, it was so old that it had been considered a candidate for the National Register of Historic Places. PG&E had told federal regulators it planned to replace many of the towers and hardware on the line but postponed the work several times…

At about 6:15 a.m. on Nov. 8, 2018, an iron hook holding up a 115,000-volt line broke, dropping the live wire and sparking a blaze.

Thirty minutes later, what would come to be known as the Camp Fire was out of control. Officials ordered the evacuation of the nearby town of Paradise, home to 26,000 people. The town was soon burned to the ground. Within hours, the fire destroyed 13,983 homes and killed more people, 85, than any other California wildfire.”

What is the solution to this problem?  It is two-fold.

First, California needs to withdraw state mandates on a switch to solar and wind, which will bring down the cost of power generation.

Second, California needs actual competition in electricity generation. This doesn’t mean just competition in generation, but distribution. In exchange for eliminating their current legal monopolies on generation and distribution, power companies would be free to charge whatever rate people are willing to pay them.

Of the two, the second is actually the most important. Even if the state mandates on the switch to renewables stayed in place, as long as the utilities can charge customers higher prices to reflect this, then it will not affect the ability of utilities to maintain and replace aging equipment. (I think both of my solutions should occur, since I think the concerns over “climate change” are either illusory, or overblown, but, that is a debate for another time.) The important point to recognize is that there is no free lunch. If the people of California want to reduce so-called “greenhouse gases”, then they need to be prepared to pay for it with higher utility rates. (Otherwise, they’ll continue to “pay for it” with forest fires.)

A Crow Possibly Solving a Problem Like a Human Being

Animal behavior interests me a great deal. I essentially see the human mind as “built on” an underlying “chassis” that reflects our species’ evolutionary development. So, there is a portion of the human brain that can be considered unique, and that makes us human, but there is also a lot of our brain structure that is the same as a chimpanzee’s or other other animal’s brain. This means that by learning something about animal behavior and the animal mind, we can learn something about ourselves.
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This video on BBC involves a crow appearing to “solve” a complex-reasoning problem. After watching it, however, I question whether the conclusion that is being drawn is necessarily the correct one.
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If the crow has done each of these individual things before to get a food reward, then he may just be doing each task randomly with the expectation of getting a food reward that doesn’t pay off?
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The first seven tasks that he has associated with food reward result in nothing this time, but operant conditioning causes him to eventually do the eighth task that results in food reward. In other words, there may not be a mental connection in his mind between doing task 1 and doing task 8, like there would be for a human being.
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A question I would like to ask whoever devised this experiment: Did the crow immediately know the correct order of tasks to perform? Even if he’s doing it in the right order from the start, that could be random, because he does the task that he can immediately perform simply because it’s physically available to him, not because he’s reasoning it out. (In which case, this is just a Rube Goldberg machine with a crow as one of its components.) It would seem more likely to suggest complex reasoning if the crow had never done any of the individual tasks before and he was able to figure it out.

“Joker” Movie Review (With Plot-Spoilers)

The movie is about Arthur Fleck, the man who will become Batman’s arch-nemesis. He is an entertainer, and aspiring standup comedian, who is barely getting by. He works as a clown, and lives with his mother in what appears to be 1970’s, or early 1980’s, New York. (The city was a fairly lawless place, with a lot of crime and violence.) Everyone is “mean” to Arthur Fleck, and that, eventually, “drives” him to kill, and transform into a super-villain.
The movie’s theme is that of our “post-modern” era: “I am justified in using physical force against people who hurt my feelings or offend me.”

The movie isn’t anything particularly new on the cinematic landscape. The character seems like an amalgam of three characters I’ve seen before:

  • A loner who kills at random, living in the “sewer” that is 1970’s New York City. He becomes obsessed with a woman. (The Taxi Driver)
  • A strange fellow with an unhealthy relationship with his mother becomes a lunatic killer. (“Norman Bates” in Psycho)
  • A person who murders anyone who insults him. (Hannibal Lecter)

Arthur kills three times as part of his “transformation” into the Joker. These comprise the major scenes “mapping out” the movie and his development.

First Episode of Violence: Arthur kills some obnoxious “frat boys”. This is somewhat justified since they are beating him up, and were bullying a woman on the train. By the way, the scene was highly unrealistic. White upper-middle-class yuppies weren’t, as a rule, the ones attacking people on subways in 1970’s New York.

Second Episode of Violence: Arthur had previously discovered in a series of scenes that he was adopted and that his mother had allowed her criminally insane boyfriend to beat him so badly Arthur suffered brain damage as a result. (Throughout the movie, he has an uncontrollable laugh due to a neurological condition.) This was also not particularly realistic. In what Twentieth Century American city would a mentally ill woman be able to adopt, let alone keep, a child? Especially after he had suffered that kind of abuse from her boyfriend? This was sort of “blamed” on “the rich”, with references to unspecified “cuts in funding” for unspecified “government programs”. But, under laissez-faire capitalism, there would be courts and police to combat child-abuse like this.

The whole “anti-rich” aspect of the movie basically felt like an artistic “fig leaf” to me, anyway. It was just another way that people hurt the script-writer’s feelings, and justify, in his or her mind, acts of violence. (I don’t think it’s a coincidence that the main character’s name in this movie is “Arthur”, as in, the *author* of this movie, who identifies with this character.)

Third Episode of Violence: Arthur murders the guy who got him fired from his clown job with a pair of scissors. Tellingly, in this third episode of violence, Arthur lets a dwarf character, another clown, go, saying: “You were always nice to me.”

The “lead up” to this third violent scene was this: Arthur got fired from his clown job after a gun fell out of his pants while he was entertaining children at a hospital. Arthur got the gun from a fellow clown who gave it to him. For some inexplicable reason, this minor character lies to their boss, and says Arthur tried to buy a gun off of him. Why wouldn’t he just keep quiet? If he gave Arthur an illegal gun, he’d have as much to loose as Arthur, so it’d be better to just say nothing, and hope that it never got back to their boss, or the police. Also, if he didn’t like Arthur, why give him a valuable gun free of charge like that? This minor character’s motives made no sense.

With respect to the obnoxious frat boys on the train, Arthur was *possibly* justified in using force.  Even the murder of his mother is “understandable”, if not justified. He had discovered she had allowed him to become the victim of massive childhood abuse. But, by the time he gets around to his fourth, and final, “episode of violence”, involving a character played by Robert De Niro, his motive is clear: He kills people who hurt his feelings.

The “set up” for this scene occurred earlier in the movie. De Niro plays a “Late Show TV Host”, Murray Franklin. Arthur Fleck idolizes Franklin, who, in his deluded mind, is the father he never had. Midway through the movie, Franklin shows a recording of Arthur “bombing” during a standup routine, and makes fun of Arthur. (This was not particularly realistic. I doubt a major TV personality would engage in an unprovoked “attack” on a complete “nobody” like that.) Later, for some inexplicable reason, Franklin has Arthur on his TV show for an interview, where Arthur, now “transformed” into the Joker, comes on stage and confesses to killing the obnoxious frat boys on the subway.

This scene is where the overall “theme” of the Joker movie is revealed. Prior to blowing away De Niro’s character, Arthur says: “…comedy is subjective, the system decides what is right and what is wrong, just like it decides what is funny…” He also says “everyone is awful”. This translates to: My feelings are what matters, even to the exclusion of the lives of others.

As a “stand alone” movie, the “message” of “Joker” is terible, but also not particularly original. (I noted three movies above that it seems to draw heavily from,  with similar characters and motives.) Its theme reflects our era, at least since the end of the Nineteenth Century: Feelings matter more than people’s rights. This “post modern” idea runs all the way from the National Socialism of 1930’s Germany, to the street thuggery of groups like “Antifa”, in cities like Portland, and on American university campuses, today. (These groups think that certain “hate speech” hurts their feelings, and justifies the use of force.)

What somewhat “artistically complicates” the “clear messaging” of “Joker” is that this is a character from a “wider” work(s) of art. It’s the villain from Batman. In that sense, it  may not be “meant” to be a “stand alone movie”. It has the “feel” of a flashback scene from a wider work of fiction, where the motives of the “bad guy” are explained, but not necessarily condoned. For instance, it’s set in Bruce Wayne’s “past”, although he is only a minor character in this movie. But, with that said, I think a work of art has to be taken at “face value”, which means one should not “read into” it what *was not* said. In this, particular, movie, Arthur suffers no consequence for his viciousness, which is motivated entirely by his feelings. (The last scene is the Joker murdering his therapist and escaping.) It says: “Force in the service of my feelings is efficacious and justified”.

If someone knew *nothing* about the Batman franchise, and saw this movie, they’d judge the movie as another, by now fairly tired, artistic depravity study, where the villain “gets away with it”, because the writer thinks his feelings have primacy over reality.

When What Is Common is Inadvertently Reported

The Amber Guyger murder trial was quite prominent in both the local and national news. I would guess that it was so heavily reported because it tied in to the overall media narrative concerning black men being shot by cops as a major problem.

Whether the shooting was justified or not, and whether the jury arrived at the correct decision, I have no idea. I didn’t watch most of the trial because of time constraints. I generally operate on the assumption that I trust the court system to arrive at the correct conclusion, absent some evidence to the contrary in a specific case. So, I won’t comment on the verdict at this point.

After the verdict, I assumed news reporting would slowly fade on this subject, and the media would move on to something else. Then, something “unexpected” happened. One of the witnesses, Joshua brown, was found shot to death, an apparent homicide victim.  (I use quotation marks on the word “unexpected”, because what happened is actually quite common.)

Joshua Brown was a State’s witness, and a neighbor of the decedent. Mr.  Brown overheard parts of the confrontation between the Defendant, Ms. Guyger, and the decedent in the case. His testimony was generally not favorable for the Defense. My understanding is that he testified Ms. Guyger did not issue verbal commands to the decedent prior to using deadly force.

About a week after the trial, Mr. Brown, was, coincidentally, shot to death.  https://www.dallasnews.com/news/2019/10/08/dallas-police-name-three-suspects-joshua-brown-murder-investigation/

I suspected I knew what the race of whoever shot Mr. Brown would be, and it looks like I wasn’t wrong. Two of the three suspects in the shooting were black. The shooting appears to have arisen out of a dispute over drugs.

Normally, I doubt Mr. Brown’s death would have made the news. Why not? Because it happens all the time. It’s the same reason the news reports airplane crashes, but typically doesn’t report car wrecks. Car wrecks happen too often. It also doesn’t fit the narrative the media wants you to believe, which is that the number one concern for black people in America is police shootings, not homicides committed by other black people.

In some years, black people are the primary perpetrators of murder. They’re also the primary victims. The Bureau of Justice Statistics sets forth the percentage of homicides committed by blacks and the percentage of homicides committed by whites between 1980 and 2009. These figures can be found at page 12, Table 7 of “Homicide Trends in the United States, 1980-2008”, where it said that of all homicides committed in the US, 45.3% of offenders were white and 52.5% were black. (See http://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/htus8008.pdf, last accessed on 10-9-2019.)

So, Mr. Brown’s apparent homicide at the hands of other black people would normally not be a newsworthy event. It’s too frequent to merit much attention.

Interracial Rape Statistics

I have been trying to find what the statistics say on inter-racial rape for quite some time. It is very difficult, probably because most people know what the results will show.

Today I found an article from a University of Chicago paper from 1982 that summarized some previous studies on the amount of interracial rape, that is, black on white rape, or white on black rape. The article is called:

Gary D. LaFree, “Male Power and Female Victimization: Toward a Theory of Interracial Rape,” American Journal of Sociology 88, no. 2 (Sep., 1982): 311-328.

Each of the rows in the above table is a reference to a study measuring the amount of inter-racial rape, and the results of those studies. The Table is titled: “Table 1 Frequency of Interracial Rape By Year of Offense”, from Pg. 313 of the LaFree Article.

The figures are about like what I suspected. That is, the rates of black men raping white women were much higher than the rates of white men raping black women. One study in particular, was astounding to me. The fourth row down is a sample taken in Berkley, California, where it was found that 60.8% of all rapes were a black offender and white victim, from 1968 to 1970.

The article is also interesting because it accepts the fact that black men are raping white women at much higher rates as a given, and then presents two possible theories for why that would be. That suggests to me that, at least in 1982, the fact that black men raped white women at an unusually high level was a known fact, that nobody questioned.

Parenthetically, the two theories presented in the LaFree article are the “normative” theory, and the “conflict” theory. The “normative theory suggests that the amount of black on white rape had gone up since the time of desegregation because more white women were interacting with black men socially, creating greater opportunities for rape. The “conflict” theory suggested that black men rape white women more frequently as a form of revenge for supposed “white male power”. The article finds that the “conflict” theory is more supported by its findings.

I had to pay ten dollars for the article, which I found here: https://www.journals.uchicago.edu. I consider it worth the $10.

From there, I found another article that appears to be freely available online:

“The Racial Pattering of Rape”, South, Scott J., Felson, Richard B., University of North Carolina Press, “Social Forces”, September 1990, 69(1):71-93.
https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download;jsessionid=635F7907F6F07771D7C4D815160167BC?doi=10.1.1.839.5948&rep=rep1&type=pdf

This article posits another theory for the much higher rate of black on white rape than white on black rape. It seems to say that it is due to increased opportunity of black rapists to rape white women in a less racially segregated society than in the past. The article notes that cities with higher rates of racial segregation have less black on white rape. This seems plausible to me, and suggests a definite solution for avoiding becoming the victim of a crime…but I’ll leave that for another time.

“Beto” likes guns just fine…when HE decides who to use them on

At the recent Democratic Debates, Robert “Beto” O’Rourke attempted to demonstrate his “no compromise” attitude on guns by saying: “Hell Yes, We’re Going To Take Your AR-15”

https://reason.com/2019/09/12/beto-orourke-hell-yes-were-going-to-take-your-ar-15/

What it demonstrated was his willingness to have the state initiate physical force.

He does not mean: “Hell yes, if you are a force-initiator, we’re going to take away your AR-15”

This could easily be done with a law that says: “It shall be unlawful to possess an AR-15 with the intent to commit a felony.”

But, this wouldn’t accomplish what O’Rourke wants, since most owners of AR-15’s would continue to legally hold them. The government would have to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that they had the weapon for the purpose of committing a felony, which most AR-15 owners would never do.

What O’Rourke wants is to remove this type of weapon from general circulation in the civilian world as a “prophylactic measure”. In other words, he thinks that by doing this, the number of murders in America will decrease. Never mind that the number of murders committee with so-called “assault weapons” is much smaller than the number of murders committed with handguns. https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2014/crime-in-the-u.s.-2014/tables/expanded-homicide-data/expanded_homicide_data_table_8_murder_victims_by_weapon_2010-2014.xls

So, what O’Rourke is actually saying is: “Hell yes, we are going to use the power of state force to deprive you of your property, even if you keep it for self-defense.”

In other words, he is saying: “The state can use physical force to deprive you of your values, and if you attempt to resist, the police will come to your house and attempt to arrest you. If you resist, you will be shot by the State.”

“Beto” wants to use the guns of government to kill anyone who wants to live.

“Give Me Freedom Or Give Me Death”

I am old enough to remember the Tiananmen Square protests of 1989. (https://www.britannica.com/event/Tiananmen-Square-incident )

The student protestors were eventually wiped out by a brutal totalitarian dictatorship that is responsible for the death of millions of people.

In 1989 George HW Bush did almost nothing to stop it or to register any sort of protest.  It was one of a large number of foreign policy blunders made by a president with few principles:

Though President George H.W. Bush initially denounced the crackdown, suspended arms sales to China and announced some other sanctions, the administration decided early on that it wasn’t going to allow Tiananmen to become a turning point in U.S. policy. It became clear that the official response would be essentially to pretend that nothing had happened.” (https://www.wsj.com/articles/in-1989-the-u-s-decided-to-let-beijing-get-away-with-murder-11559311545)

Instead, our government continued on with “business as usual” with the vicious dictatorship of mainland China, which continued to steal our technology, our wealth, and our nation’s moral integrity. All the while, Red China continued to build itself up militarily, and now may be too big for us to easily defeat. We have created our own monster.

Then, we allowed Hong Kong to be handed over in 1997, ceding people, wealth, and territory to the Communist looters. They claimed it would be “one country, two systems”.  But, it’s impossible to combine freedom with “a few controls”. In time, one or the other must give way:

A mixed economy is a mixture of freedom and controls—with no principles, rules, or theories to define either. Since the introduction of controls necessitates and leads to further controls, it is an unstable, explosive mixture which, ultimately, has to repeal the controls or collapse into dictatorship.” (Ayn Rand, “The New Fascism: Rule by Consensus”, http://aynrandlexicon.com/lexicon/mixed_economy.html.)

The Chinese government’s modus operandi with respect to Hong Kong has been: “One country, another slave-pen”.

But, the people of Hong Kong aren’t going to go quietly. With the advent of an extradition law that would allow the city-state’s residents to be tried on mainland China, thereby destroying any chance they might have of legitimate due process, Hong-Kongers decided they had had enough.

The student protestors, as well as the older residents of Hong Kong, have been admirably engaged in numerous protests, fighting for their lives and liberty. Some of the protestors even waive American flags, and British Union Jack flags, in reference to the common law system of government we all share. (See this video from a Hong Kong resident, at about two minutes in, were he says Hong Kong is under common law.)

America and Great Britain now have a chance to redeem themselves after they stood by silently and watched the student protestors of Tiananmen get slaughtered in 1989 and handed over H.K. without a shot being fired in 1997. Our governments should do everything they can to bring diplomatic and economic pressure to bear on the Chinese government, to honor its promise of a free Hong Kong. If there should be a repeat of Tiananmen Square, there should be serious economic and political consequences for Red China. I am no expert on diplomacy, or what is in the realm of the possible in foreign affairs, short of all out war. But, some things to consider would include:

(1) Instant recognition of Taiwan as an independent country by the United States, and a commitment by the United States to defend Taiwan militarily, if China should attempt to use force against that nation. Also, consider providing the Taiwanese with enough nuclear weapons to defend themselves against China.

(2) Encourage Japan to amend its constitution to allow for the creation of an army and navy, and provide the Japanese with nuclear weapons capable of reaching mainland China in the event of a conflict. (https://www.forbes.com/sites/anderscorr/2017/04/30/why-north-korea-cannot-have-nuclear-weapons-but-japan-and-south-korea-should/#4f2cca5d3943)

(3) Provide nuclear weapons and missile technology to India, already a nuclear power, so that they are capable of reaching Chinese targets.

(4) State that any attempt by China to annex islands or other territory in the Pacific will be considered an act of aggression. (https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-pacific-13748349)

(5) Massive Economic Sanctions On China, including prohibitively high tariffs on the import of all Chinese goods into the United States. Normally, I am for free trade, but China is a totalitarian state, and as such, an outlaw nation, as sure as any group of pirates or other gang would be. America should consider itself at war with any totalitarian nation, even if no shots are being fired due to other, practical, considerations. We should boycott all such countries economically, diplomatically, and morally. http://aynrandlexicon.com/lexicon/foreign_policy/3.html

This is our chance, as Americans, to stand with a people who stand with the spirit of Patrick Henry. Don’t let the people of Hong Kong go unheard.